A Growing Threat
Insurance works best when risk is spread out and somewhat predictable. Wildfires don’t play by those rules. And the threat of wildfire is growing.
In the last 40 years, the average number of acres of forested land consumed by wildfires in the U.S. has increased 1,000%.[1] Projections show that as temperatures increase, so too does the wildfire threat. An average annual 1.8-degree temperature increase would increase the median acres burned each year by 600%.[2]
In addition to the loss of forested acres, wildfires also cause significant infrastructure loss. Wildfires are costing the U.S. economy between $394 - $893 billion annually, including the reduced real estate value and increased water infrastructure in fire-prone areas.[3]
The losses from wildfires pose significant concerns for insurers because the losses are catastrophic and concentrated, and the risks are rising. In response, insurers are sometimes leaving high-risk markets or increasing rates sharply.
To protect consumers from unaffordable premiums or losing insurance access, some states are taking new approaches. Let's consider how two states, Nevada and California, are attempting to solve these complex issues.