The Expanding Flood Threat Beyond Historical Flood Zones
Flood policies were the most commonly owned in our survey, with 22% of respondents saying they had supplemental flood insurance. However, that leaves 78% of people without flood policies.
Flooding is a good example of a potential coverage gap due to perceived low risk. The conviction that one lives in a "low risk" area is, unfortunately, rooted in outdated assumptions. Federal and independent climatological data show that flood boundaries are shifting dramatically:
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Flooding Isn't Happening Where We Expect: Between 1978 and 2021, the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) paid $4 billion in flood claims outside designated Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHAs)—nearly double the $2.3 billion paid for major river overflows in those same zones.[1]
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Maps Are Outdated: Traditional Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) flood maps rely heavily on historical data, but the world is changing faster than these maps can keep up. For example, during Hurricane Harvey, approximately three-quarters of flooded structures in Houston were located entirely outside FEMA’s 100-year flood zones.
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Extreme Weather Is Getting Worse: For every 1°C increase in atmospheric temperatures, air retains roughly 7% more moisture. In the U.S., nine of the top ten years for extreme single-day rainfall have occurred since 1995, turning moderate summer storms into localized flash floods across Appalachia, the Midwest, and the Northeast.[3]
Essentially, making decisions on where you buy a home or whether or not you insure it with supplemental coverage based on historical data may not be enough.
David Seider, CCO of The Zebra and an experienced insurance leader, offers this advice: "Flood insurance will continue to grow in importance, especially outside of coastal and traditionally flood-prone areas. More and more flooding is happening in 'non-traditional' parts of the country, and flood insurance will become a bigger part of the public consciousness."